11:15 pm
March 27

94th Academy Awards: Best Picture

Which FILM will WIN the Oscar for Best Picture?

The Power of the Dog

Any Other Film

 

Current odds:

CODA: (-135)

The Power of the Dog: (-105)

Belfast: (+1600)

King Richard: (+2300)

Dune: (+2800)

West Side Story: (+3500)

Licorice Pizza: (+5500)

Don’t Look Up: (+5500)

Drive My Car: (+6500)

Nightmare Alley: (+8000)

 

• This race has completely turned on its head in the six weeks since nominations were announced. The Power of the Dog was the favorite coming in, and while it still is, the most likely film to unseat it has changed drastically.

• This race was initially lining up to be The Power of the Dog against Belfast, with West Side Story in the mix as well. Since then, CODA has steamed forward from its initial opening odds in the +2000 to +3000 range, taking home the top prizes awarded by both the Screen Actors Guild and the Producers Guild of America.

• This sets up an incredibly intriguing showdown between the two award shows that have the best history of predicting the Best Picture winner. CODA won at the PGA and Power of the Dog won at the Directors Guild of America. Since 2000, both of those organizations have matched up with the Academy Awards’ Best Picture 14 times, proving more predictable than the SAGs, BAFTAs or Golden Globes.

5/10
Confidence
StreakSmarter Pick
Any Other Film
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