5:02 pm
October 3

Cardinals @ Braves: Innings 1-5

What will be the EXIT VELOCITY of the FIRST HR Hit during INN 1-5?

109.9 MPH or Slower or No HR INN 1-5

110.0 MPH or Faster

 

• Only 537 of 6730 (7.98%) HR in MLB this season had an exit velocity of 110 MPH or faster, making them a fairly rare feat. That being said, Ronald Acuña, Jr. is by far the most likely player to hit a 110+ MPH HR, as 13 of his 41 HR this season have exceeded that velocity. Other candidates include Marcell Ozuna (3/29 HR > 110 MPH), Josh Donaldson (4/37 HR > 110 MPH), Paul Goldschmidt (3/34 HR > 110 MPH), and Freddie Freeman (3/38 HR > 110 MPH). No one else has more than one.

• As for the starting pitchers, Dallas Keuchel allowed an exit velocity of 110 MPH or faster on 1 of the 16 HR he surrendered this season (Manny Machado), and Miles Mikolas did so on 2 of the 27 HR he gave up (Machado and Josh Bell). Additionally, Keuchel has allowed an exit velocity of 110 MPH or greater 5 times out of 348 total batted balls this season (1.44%), while Mikolas has done so 10 times out of 576 total batted balls this season (1.74%).

• Found that info on a facebook comment board for this match-up so I feel good about going Slower and No here.

 

5/10
Confidence
StreakSmarter Pick
109.9 MPH or Slower or No HR INN 1-5
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