Who will WIN this matchup?
#11 Florida Gators (6-1)
@ Arkansas Razorbacks (5-3)
Current odds:
Florida Gators: (-175)
Arkansas Razorbacks: (+155)
• ESPN simulations have Florida as 73.7% favorites to win the game.
• 65% of sports bets are currently on Arkansas to win as (+155) underdogs.
• Florida has won three straight while allowing just 30 points combined and aims to avoid a letdown against the Razorbacks, who are coming off a bye week that followed an embarrassing 56-3 loss to Auburn.
• The Razorbacks expect to have talented junior quarterback Austin Allen (knee) in the lineup Saturday after he was knocked around the last three games.
• The Gators gave up 38 points in their lone loss to Tennessee and 44 combined during six victories, standing second in the nation in total defense (239.9 yards). Sophomore quarterback Luke Del Rio threw for 131 yards in the 24-10 victory over Georgia last week and has three receivers with at least 25 catches, but junior tight end DeAndre Goolsby (hand) is questionable.
• Allen is third in the SEC in passing yards per game (256) and boasts 18 touchdown passes as opposed to seven interceptions with a trio of talented veteran receivers as weapons. Seniors Drew Morgan (41 catches, 420 yards, two TDs) and Keon Hatcher (28, 435, five), along with junior Jared Cornelius (24, 465, four), are all dangerous through the air.
• The Gators have allowed just three points in the first quarter and are fifth in the nation in third-down conversion defense (27.8 percent).
StreakSmarts Pick: #11 Florida Gators
Confidence: 6/10
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