[3:30 PM] Vanderbilt @ Missouri

Who will WIN this matchup?

Vanderbilt Commodores (4-5)

@ Missouri Tigers (2-7)

 

Current odds:

Vanderbilt Commodores: (+155)

Missouri Tigers: (-175)

 

• ESPN simulations have Missouri as XX% favorites to win the game.

• XX% of sports bets are currently on Vanderbilt to win as (TBD) favorites.

• The line for this game is Missouri by 3.5 points.

• Missouri’s best chance at picking up an SEC victory comes Saturday when the struggling Tigers host Vanderbilt in a matchup of SEC East bottom-feeders. The Tigers have lost five straight and remain winless in conference play, while the Commodores need to win two of their last three games to reach bowl eligibility.

• The Commodores’ biggest turnaround from a year ago is in their ability to protect the ball, as they have allowed an SEC-low eight turnovers and rank second in the league with a plus-6 turnover margin. The offense doesn’t put up big numbers, but running back Ralph Webb has been effective and quarterback Kyle Shurmur has managed the offense well. Zach Cunningham leads a solid defense with 13 1/2 tackles for loss among his team-high 94 stops and will be a challenge for a Missouri offense that allows the fewest tackles for loss in the nation.

• The Tigers have reversed the script from last season, as they have moved the ball effectively under first-year offensive coordinator Josh Heupel but have been unable to come up with defensive stops. Freshman running back Damarea Crockett has emerged as a strong complement to the passing game led by sophomore Drew Lock, who leads the SEC with 19 touchdown passes and ranks second with 2,517 yards despite an up-and-down season. Missouri has allowed 31 or more points in every game during its five-game skid and has been gashed on the ground during that stretch.

• The Commodores have scored on their opening possession in three straight games and are 3-2 when doing so this season.

• Missouri P Corey Fatony has allowed only 57 yards of punt returns all season on 53 punts.

• Vanderbilt’s Darrius Sims needs just 17 yards to break Mark Johnson’s school record for career kickoff return yards.

 

StreakSmarts Pick: Missouri Tigers

Confidence: 4/10

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