Who will WIN this matchup?
Tennessee Titans (1-2)
@ Houston Texans (2-1)
Current odds:
Tennessee Titans: (-145)
Houston Texans: (+125)
• ESPN simulations have Houston as XX% favorites to win the game.
• XX% of sports bets are currently on Houston to win as (XX) favorites.
• The line for this game is Texans by 4.5 points.
• After a few extra days to lick their wounds following a prime-time drubbing, the Houston Texans hope to protect their perch atop the AFC South standings when they host the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. Houston has won seven of its last eight meetings with the Titans, including all four under coach Bill O’Brien.
• Tennessee’s offense has moved the ball well on the ground, but the passing game has left much to be desired. Mariota has as many interceptions – four – as touchdown passes and hasn’t provided enough balance to complement DeMarco Murray, who has accounted for three touchdowns (one rushing, two receiving). An improved defense has kept the Titans in games, holding all three opponents under 250 passing yards, but the club has forced just two turnovers and had some trouble stopping the run.
• Quarterback Brock Osweiler isn’t putting up big numbers in his first season in Houston, throwing four interceptions and just three touchdown passes despite a dangerous receiving corps. The offense should be fine, though, if Osweiler can limit his mistakes, as Lamar Miller leads a strong rushing attack that has moved the ball well but has not yet found the end zone. Losing Watt will have an effect on the defense, but he hardly was in top form with just 1.5 of the team’s 10 sacks.
• Houston has won five straight regular-season home games.
• Titans TE Delanie Walker made 15 catches in two games against the Texans last season.
• Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 24 receptions for 449 yards and four touchdowns in his last three games against Tennessee.
StreakSmarts Pick: Houston Texans
Confidence: 5/10
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