[4:00 PM] Stanford @ Oregon

Who will WIN this matchup?

Stanford Cardinal (6-3)

@ Oregon Ducks (3-6)

 

Current odds:

Stanford Cardinal: (-150)

Oregon Ducks: (+130)

 

• ESPN simulations have Oregon as XX% favorites to win the game.

• XX% of sports bets are currently on Stanford to win as (TBD) favorites.

• The line for this game is Stanford by 3 points.

• After battling for Pac-12 titles in recent years, Stanford and Oregon find themselves in a much different place for Saturday’s meeting in Eugene. The Ducks are assured of their first losing record in conference play since 2006, while the Cardinal needed last week’s 26-15 victory over Oregon State to gain bowl eligibility for the eighth straight year.

• Quarterback Keller Chryst threw for just 60 yards last week against Oregon State in his second career start but added 83 on the ground as the Cardinal ran the ball on their final 29 plays from scrimmage. Coach David Shaw’s squad ranks third in the Pac-12 in scoring defense at 18.6 points per game and boasts one of the top linemen in the country in Solomon Thomas, who has recorded a team-high seven sacks along with 12 tackles for loss. Thomas’ play is a key reason why Stanford’s defense has held each of its last four opponents to 15 points or fewer.

• After playing well in his first two starts, freshman quarterback Justin Herbert threw for a quiet 162 yards and a touchdown against USC while facing constant pressure. The Ducks averaged just 2.8 yards per carry as Tony Brooks-James started in place of an ineffective Royce Freeman, and they’ll need improved play from their offensive line against a Stanford team that leads the Pac-12 with 29 sacks. Tight end Pharaoh Brown has registered 159 receiving yards and three touchdowns over his last two games, while linebacker Troy Dye made a team-high 13 tackles against the Trojans to lead the beleaguered defense.

• Stanford has dropped 11 of its previous 14 meetings with Oregon and six of the last seven in Eugene.

• The Ducks have scored at least 20 points in 39 consecutive games, the longest active streak in FBS.

• Since Shaw became the Cardinal coach in 2011, Stanford and Oregon own identical records of 60-17.

 

StreakSmarts Pick: Oregon Ducks

Confidence: 5/10

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