10:30 pm
August 29

UFC Fight Night: Lawler v. Magny

Who will WIN this FIGHT?

Robbie Lawler (USA)

Neil Magny (USA)

 

Current odds:

Robbie Lawler: (+200)

Neil Magny: (-250)

 

• Lawler has always had issues with just giving range and space to tall opponents, and with keeping a pace on them. If he tries to be aggressive early (e.g. the Cerrone fight), he often ends up lunging straight into the clinch.

• None of this speaks well for his chances against Magny, who is huge, reasonably mobile and rangy, consistently paced and coincidentally does his best work in the clinch. There is an obvious path to victory for Lawler: hurt Magny early and keep hurting him to a finish or an unassailable round lead. Other people have done it, but Lawler is not a great R1 finisher, nor can he keep an aggressive start going.

4/10
Confidence
StreakSmarter Pick
Neil Magny (USA)
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