1:10 pm
July 11

Braves @ Marlins

Who will WIN this matchup?

Atlanta Braves (44-44)

@ Miami Marlins (38-50)

 

Starting Pitchers:

Anderson (ARL): 5-4; 3.27 ERA

Lopez (MIA) 4-5; 2.94 ERA

 

Current odds:

Atlanta Braves: (+100)

Miami Marlins: (-120)

 

• The Atlanta Braves begin the rest of their season without All-Star right fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. when they play the host Miami Marlins on Sunday. Acuna tore his right ACL in the bottom of the fifth inning of Saturday’s win and will have season-ending surgery. Acuna, 23, is expected to miss 9-10 months, according to ESPN.

• The Acuna injury is unfortunately fitting for the Braves, who have won three straight National League East crowns but haven’t had the type of first half to the 2021 season that they were expecting. That’s why their goal for the game on Sunday — aside from avoiding more injuries — is quite simple. “Going into the (All-Star) break, we’re trying to finish strong,” Braves third baseman Austin Riley said. “(The first half) has been a grind for sure.”

• Sunday’s pitching matchup will feature a pair of right-handers: Miami’s Pablo Lopez (4-5, 2.94 ERA) and Atlanta’s Ian Anderson (5-4, 3.27 ERA). Lopez, who is on track for a career-best ERA, is 0-2 with a 14.14 ERA in three starts against the Braves this season. In 11 career starts versus Atlanta, Lopez is 2-6 with a 5.85 ERA. His most recent start against the Braves, on July 2, was infamous as he threw one pitch, hitting Acuna, before he was ejected.

• The Marlins are 9-9 when Lopez starts, and the Braves — quite similarly — are 9-8 when Anderson is on the mound this season.

• Anderson has eight quality starts this year, but he didn’t fare as well against the Marlins. In his only start against Miami this year, Anderson lasted just five innings, allowing three runs on six hits and four walks. In three career starts against the Marlins, Anderson is 0-1 with a 2.63 ERA. He has yet to pitch in Miami, however.

• Meanwhile, the Marlins, who are in last place in the NL East, have had a wild week. They started the week by beating the reigning World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers in three straight games. Since then, the Marlins have lost three straight — and it’s that inconsistency that has been maddening.

• If nothing else, though, the Marlins have been feisty. Speedy Jazz Chisholm hit an inside-the-park homer on Saturday — the play Acuna was hurt on. It was Miami’s first inside-the-park homer since JT Riddle hit one in 2018.

 

4/10
Confidence
StreakSmarter Pick
Miami Marlins