3:06 pm
March 28

Women’s NCAA Tournament: #5 Missouri St v. #1 Stanford

What will be the GAME RESULT?

#5 Missouri St: Wins or Single Digit Loss

#1 Stanford: Wins By Double Digits

 

Current odds:

Missouri St Lady Bears: (+1000)

Stanford Cardinal: (-1700)

 

The line for this game is Stanford by 16 points.

The Missouri State Lady Bears are making their second consecutive Sweet 16 trip and fifth in program history after defeating UC Davis and Wright State, and face No. 1 overall seed Stanford in a rematch of the 2019 Sweet 16. MSU’s No. 5 seed is tied with the 2001 Final Four team for the highest seed in program history. Missouri State is 18-15 in NCAA play with Final Four trips in 1992 and 2001 and Sweet Sixteens in 1993, 2019 and 2021. The Lady Bears are 2-2 all-time against No. 1 seeds, with wins against Iowa in 1992 and Duke in 2001.

The Lady Bears are 42-6 in their last 48 games away from home, including a 15-1 mark this season. Missouri State finished the regular season as one of two Division teams with an 11-0 record in true road games.

The Lady Bears allow 55.9 points per game, ranking 20th nationally and on pace for second-best defensive average in school history behind the 1973-74 team at 45.9. No team has scored more than 73 points against Missouri State and 23 of 25 have scored below its season average. MSU has faced top-25 scoring offenses in Maryland (1st – 91.8), FGCU (7th – 81.6) and Drake (22nd – 76.4) twice.

Stanford is 27-2 overall, the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament, and ranked second in both the AP and Coaches polls. The Cardinal boast four double-figure scorers and own 21 wins away from home this season. Stanford averages 78.6 points and allows 52.8, shooting 46.9 percent overall, 37.9 percent on 3-pointers and 71.1 percent at the foul line with a plus-10.8 rebound margin.

STANFORD PROBABLE STARTERS
No. Player Pos. Ht. Yr. PPG RPG APG
3 Anna Wilson G 5-9 5th 4.6 3.7 2.0
12 Lexie Hull G 6-0 Jr. 11.2 4.6 1.7
22 Cameron Brink F 6-4 Fr. 10.2 6.9 0.9
23 Kiana Williams G 5-8 Sr. 14.4 2.0 3.0
30 Haley Jones G 6-1 So. 12.9 7.4 2.9

STANFORD OFF THE BENCH
No. Player Pos. Ht. Yr. PPG RPG APG
2 Agnes Emma-Nnopu G 5-11 Fr. 0.8 1.7 0.4
4 Jana Van Gytenbeek G 5-7 Fr. 2.2 0.3 1.2
5 Francesca Belibi F 6-1 So. 7.9 5.1 1.2
10 Alyssa Jerome F 6-3 Sr. 1.7 1.2 0.5
11 Ashten Prechtel F 6-5 So. 5.1 4.0 1.0
24 Lacie Hull G 6-1 Jr. 3.4 2.7 1.4
33 Hannah Jump G 6-0 So. 7.0 2.4 0.8
54 Jenna Brown G 5-10 Jr. – – –

6/10
Confidence
StreakSmarter Pick
#1 Stanford: Wins By Double Digits