1:02 pm
September 18

Dolphins @ Ravens

Who will WIN this matchup?

Miami Dolphins (1-0)

@ Baltimore Ravens (1-0)

 

Current odds:

Miami Dolphins: (+156)

Baltimore Ravens: (-189)

 

The spread for this game is Ravens by 3.5 points.

At this time last season, rumors began to surface that Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and coach Brian Flores were on divergent paths. At this time last season, it was widely assumed that Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson would be the next quarterback to get a huge new contract that likely would keep him with the Ravens as long as both sides remained happy. That’s why Sunday’s game between the Dolphins (1-0) and Ravens (1-0) at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore is filled with irony.

A late-season surge by Tagovailoa convinced mercurial owner Stephen Ross, who was reportedly ready to give up on a quarterback that he drafted fifth overall in 2020, to make a decision at the fork in the road.

Flores was fired, but forgiving the team’s interest in off-limits Tom Brady, Tagovailoa still remains with the Dolphins after leading the team to six straight victories as part of the team’s seven-game winning streak late last season. In fact, it no longer is a huge leap to predict that Tagovailoa will be with the Dolphins longer than Jackson will remain with the Ravens.

Tagovailoa’s second half of last season might have convinced Ross that the Dolphins already have their franchise quarterback, especially if he added pieces around him. Jackson hasn’t fallen from good graces in Baltimore, but he is playing on the franchise tag and could be stuck there for the long term.

The Dolphins used the offseason to surround Tagovailoa with a situation that makes his life easier. They hired offensive-minded Mike McDaniel to replace Flores, a longtime defensive coach. Perhaps even more help for Tagovailoa came from an offseason trade with Kansas City for wide receiver Tyreek Hill. The Dolphins already have Jaylen Waddle, a first-round pick in 2021, who set a new NFL record for receptions by a rookie (104). So, what do you get when you add the six-time Pro Bowler Hill to Waddle? Well, if the season-opening win against New England is any indication, the answer is a combined 12 receptions for 163 yards and a touchdown.

What Jackson did in last week’s opener against the New York Jets was no big surprise. He didn’t look much different than the guy who was the NFL’s unanimous Most Valuable Player in 2019. Jackson threw for three touchdowns and, so far, his muddled contract situation hasn’t gotten in the way.

Jackson doesn’t have an agent and represented himself in offseason contract talks. The blame for the talks falling apart before the start of the season actually can be blamed on the Cleveland Browns and Deshaun Watson, who signed a five-year contract with $230 million fully guaranteed. Usually, a new contract for a quarterback provides parameters for the next guy in line. But Watson’s contract threw the quarterback salary structure out of line throughout the league because of a full guarantee.

Although contract talks stopped shortly before the season started, things have not gotten ugly between Jackson and the Ravens. But the current labor agreement allows Baltimore to keep placing the franchise tag (with a salary less than elite quarterbacks) on Jackson for as long as the Ravens want to.

So, both quarterbacks have placed big bets on themselves for this season and for Sunday. Those bets might be couched with injuries at the all-important left tackle spot. Terron Armstead (toe) didn’t practice for the Dolphins on Wednesday, but McDaniel pointed out the veteran has a history of playing hurt dating to his time with the New Orleans Saints.

Unsettled is the best way to describe a Ravens offensive line that shuffled to accommodate Ronnie Stanley (ankle) missing Week 1, only to lose Ja’Wuan James (Achilles) to a season-ending injury. James moved from right tackle to man the left side against the Jets.

Stanley and running back J.K. Dobbins, anxious to return from a knee injury that cost him the entire 2021 season, both practiced on Wednesday.

Dolphins right tackle Austin Jackson (ankle) has improved but McDaniel said he’s no guarantee to play Sunday.

Those developments could make life interesting for quarterbacks in the spotlight. For Tagovailoa, a strong outing and a win would be further evidence that he’s a rising star. Jackson hasn’t talked much about his contract situation. But every time he steps on the field is an opportunity to prove he deserves a huge new contract.

Of course, it would help if Jackson gets more support from his running game than he did in the opener. The Ravens managed just 63 yards rushing on 3.0 yards per carry against the Jets, marking Baltimore’s fewest rushing yards in a game started by Jackson. The Dolphins limited the Patriots to 78 rushing yards in their opener.

But the Ravens are hoping that the expected return of Dobbins, who ran for 805 yards as a rookie in 2020, will give the ground game a spark. McDaniel is unlikely to see anything from Baltimore he hasn’t seen before, but that’s no knock on the scheme.

5/10
Confidence
StreakSmarter Pick
Baltimore Ravens