[4:05 PM] Dolphins @ Chargers

Who will WIN this matchup?

Miami Dolphins (4-4)

@ San Diego Chargers (4-5)


Current odds:

Miami Dolphins: (+181)

San Diego Chargers: (-202)


ESPN simulations have San Diego as 63.6% favorites to win the game.

69% of sports bets are currently on San Diego to win as (-202) favorites.

Jay Ajayi has amassed 529 of his 646 yards rushing and four touchdowns during the Dolphins’ three-game winning streak — including 111 and a score in a 27-23 victory over the AFC East-rival New York Jets last Sunday. The 23-year-old’s most-recent outburst came against the NFL’s top-ranked rushing defense while San Diego boasts the fifth-best (85.3) in the league.

Melvin Gordon had a field day as well on Sunday en route to earning AFC Offensive Player of the Week honors with 261 yards from scrimmage (career-best 196 rushing, 65 receiving) in San Diego’s 43-35 shootout win over Tennessee. Gordon, also 23, will be facing a dismal Dolphins’ rush defense that is yielding 136.1 yards per game, which is 30th in the NFL.

With Ajayi’s workload at an all-time high, quarterback Ryan Tannehill is averaging 201.7 yards per contest during Miami’s three-game winning streak — with just 149 coming against the Jets. Jarvis Landry, who has a team-leading 49 receptions, sat out Thursday’s practice with a shoulder injury and Kenny Stills did the same with an ailing calf, but both wideouts are expected to play on Sunday.

Buoyed by Gordon’s presence in the backfield, Philip Rivers continued his strong season by throwing for two touchdowns and a 117.6 rating last week. The veteran Rivers had an easy time of it in his last meeting with Miami, amassing 311 passing yards and three scores in a 30-14 victory on Dec. 20. Trusted target Antonio Gates has reeled in a touchdown pass in consecutive outings, increasing his total to a team-high four and career tally to 108. Tyrell Williams also had a touchdown reception last week and leads the club with 595 yards receiving.

San Diego DE Joey Bosa shares the NFL rookie lead with four sacks and has 16 quarterback pressures and 16 tackles this season.


StreakSmarts Pick: San Diego Chargers

Confidence: 5/10

StreakSmarter Pick