Who will WIN this matchup?
#24 LSU Tigers (5-3)
@ #25 Arkansas Razorbacks (6-3)
Current odds:
LSU Tigers: (-305)
Arkansas Razorbacks: (+262)
• ESPN simulations have LSU as 73.9% favorites to win the game.
• 67% of sports bets are currently on Arkansas to win as (+262) underdogs.
• The line for this game is LSU by 7 points.
• LSU averaged 41.7 points under interim coach Ed Orgeron in wins over Missouri, Southern Miss and Ole Miss but managed 125 yards – 33 on the ground – in the 10-0 setback against the Crimson Tide to give Orgeron his first loss and change the focus to the next week instead of a bigger picture.
• The Razorbacks have a good football team as well but so far are unable to get a winning streak going while trading off wins and losses over the last seven games. Arkansas knocked Florida out of the CFP rankings with a dominating 31-10 victory last week in which it rolled up 466 yards of total offense against one of the better defenses in the league.
• Star running back Leonard Fournette, then a freshman, rushed for a career-low nine yards in that 2014 game and failed to crack 100 in a home loss to the Razorbacks last season, making Arkansas and Alabama the lone SEC teams that regularly prevent him from taking over the game. Quarterback Danny Etling suffered through his worst game of the season last week, completing 11-of-24 passes for 92 yards and an interception.
• The Razorbacks were crushed 56-3 at Auburn on Oct. 22 and used the bye the following week to focus on the defense. Arkansas did not allow an offensive touchdown in the win over Florida and cut its rushing yards allowed from 543 against Auburn to 12 against the Gators after mixing up the personnel along the line during the bye. The Razorbacks offense goes as running back Rawleigh Williams III goes, and he is averaging 151.3 yards in the last three wins and 49 yards in the last three losses.
• The Razorbacks took the last two meetings and have not won three straight in the series since 1927-29.
StreakSmarts Pick: #24 LSU Tigers
Confidence: 5/10
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