[8:30 PM] Texans @ Broncos

Who will WIN this matchup?

Houston Texans (4-2)

@ Denver Broncos (4-2)

 

Current odds:

Houston Texans: (+330)

Denver Broncos: (-400)

 

• ESPN simulations have Houston as XX% favorites to win the game.

• XX% of sports bets are currently on Denver to win as (TBD) underdogs.

• The line for this game is Denver by 8 points.

• Consecutive Denver losses to the Falcons at home and the Chargers on the road in a five-day span wiped a bit of the shine off the Broncos (4-2). Almost as hastily as observers acknowledged the Broncos’ power following their 27-7 win over the Buccaneers on Oct. 2, the tables have turned to point out their chinks in the armor.

• The Broncos amassed 282 yards and three touchdowns on the ground in recording those opening two victories. In the four contests since they’ve misplaced that efficiency, going from 4.7 yards per carry in Weeks 1 and 2 to just 3.3 yards per carry in the four subsequent games, totaling 309 yards and one score on 95 rushes.

• Statistically, Osweiler has been inferior to Siemian, who ultimately won the job that was giftwrapped for Osweiler once Peyton Manning retired. And, like the Broncos, the Texans are leaning on the running game to stabilize a shaky offense.

• Running back Lamar Miller who, like Osweiler, signed with the Texans as a free agent, rushed for a season-high 149 yards and a touchdown against the Colts last Sunday night. He is third in the AFC in rushing with 520 yards and cemented his standing as the focal point for the Texans with his breakthrough performance in their 26-23 overtime win.

 

StreakSmarts Pick: Denver Broncos

Confidence: 7/10

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