8:22 pm
December 16

Chiefs @ Chargers

Who will WIN this matchup?

Kansas City Chiefs (9-4)

@ Los Angeles Chargers (8-5)

 

Current odds:

Kansas City Chiefs: (-165)

Los Angeles Chargers: (+145)

 

The line for this game is Chiefs by 3 points.

Most wondered how Kansas City could overcome its early propensity for turnovers without consideration for the possibility the Chiefs’ defense would become a rescue response unit. Yet during their six-game winning streak, the Chiefs have forced 16 turnovers and allowed an average of 311.7 yards and 10.9 points. Kansas City (9-4) needed every bit of that stinginess to forge the slim AFC West lead the Chiefs carry into a divisional clash Thursday against the second-place Los Angeles Chargers (8-5) at Inglewood, Calif.

Mahomes ranks fifth in the NFL with 3,642 passing yards while improving a touchdown-to-interception ratio (27 to 12) that remains uncharacteristically pedestrian. His reliance and trust in Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Darryl Williams make them serious backfield threats as defenders key on Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill.

The Chiefs have won seven straight road games against the Chargers as part of a .750 winning percentage coach Andy Reid (39-13) carries in AFC West games. Kansas City is coming off division wins over Denver and Las Vegas, holding each to nine points.

In Justin Herbert, the Chargers possess a quarterback capable of outperforming Mahomes, especially since Los Angeles won the first matchup 30-24 in Week 3 at Kansas City. In that game, the Chargers forged a 4-0 turnover margin and outscored the Chiefs 16-7 in the final quarter. Herbert ranks fourth in the NFL, a spot ahead of Mahomes, with 3,822 passing yards. He has thrown for 30 touchdowns, with 11 interceptions, helping the Chargers win three of their last four games.

Two Chargers wide receivers are approaching the 1,000-yard receiving mark. Keenan Allen (929 yards) cleared COVID-19 protocol and will play against the Chiefs. Mike Williams (915), who is nursing a heel injury, was among nine receivers who caught passes in a 37-21 win Sunday over the New York Giants.

Quarterback pressure has keyed the Chiefs’ defensive might, but they may be without their top pass-rusher, Chris Jones (COVID-19 protocol). L’Jarius Sneed should again bolster the Kansas City secondary after missing last Sunday’s game following the death of his brother.

Los Angeles could be without Rashawn Slater, who is also in COVID-19 protocol. The Chargers already are playing two backups along their offensive line.

4/10
Confidence
StreakSmarter Pick
Kansas City Chiefs