8:15 pm
September 28

Chiefs @ Ravens

Who will WIN this matchup?

Kansas City Chiefs (2-0)

@ Baltimore Ravens (2-0)

 

Current odds:

Kansas City Chiefs: (+155)

Baltimore Ravens: (-175)

 

The line for this game is Baltimore by 3.5 points.

A Monday night home game brings national spotlight, potential distractions and the height of anticipation for the Baltimore Ravens. The 2-0 Ravens circled the Week 3 “Monday Night Football” game on the schedule in April, knowing it would give them a chance to measure up against Patrick Mahomes and the Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. Baltimore buried its first two opponents — the Cleveland Browns and Houston Texans — setting the stage for another showdown with Mahomes. The Ravens are 16-3 since the start of the 2019 regular season. They’ve won 14 consecutive regular-season games. But they’re 0-2 against Mahomes and the Chiefs with losses each of the past two seasons by a grand total of eight points, including 33-28 in Week 3 last season.

Reigning MVP Lamar Jackson laments not getting his shot at Mahomes in the AFC playoffs last season. The Ravens lost to the Titans, and the Chiefs took down Tennessee in the conference championship game. After Jackson’s offensive line underwent changes in the offseason, early returns are beyond positive.

Kansas City survived a white-knuckle Week 2 scare at the hands of the Chargers, beating Los Angeles on a Harrison Butker 58-yard field goal in OT. The Chiefs get the idea that every team will place a bull’s-eye on this team.

And Baltimore has defensive personnel to replicate some of the gap control schemes that helped the Chargers again make Mahomes appear mortal. The Ravens also have an NFL-best five takeaways after two games and old friend Marcus Peters, the starter opposite Humphrey at cornerback, should be considered a clear and present danger facing his old mates from Kansas City. Combined, the Ravens CB tandem scored five defensive TDs in 2019. Peters is a pick-six machine with six defensive touchdowns (seven total) in his career. Humphrey, who has an interception and forced fumble already this season, was at field level when Mahomes and the Chiefs beat the San Francisco 49ers in February.

Jackson and Mahomes are meeting for the third time and are the established NFL elite, not just among the 25-and-under candidates. Each brings a certain stop-and-watch appeal and are among the league’s most popular attractions for much different reasons. “These two are two of the best,” Chiefs coach Andy Reid said Thursday. “Here you have an opportunity to watch them compete against each other. It’s really fun to watch them grow.”

Mahomes’ rally to beat the Chargers wasn’t a shock. It added to his splendid 9-0 career September record. With all of the due attention given the quarterbacks in Monday’s game, a pair of rookie running backs are injecting energy into these two vast and unique schemes.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire was the 32nd pick in the 2020 draft and jumped into the starting lineup immediately. Baltimore plans to utilize another first-round rookie, inside linebacker Patrick Queen, to contain CEH. Mark Ingram remains the primary back for the Ravens but second-rounder J.K. Dobbins will be part of the game plan. The Chiefs, who closely studied the 2020 running back class, are very aware of Dobbins’ skill set. He scored twice in Week 1.

For the Chiefs, wideout Sammy Watkins is in the concussion protocol and did not practice Thursday. Defensive end Alex Okafor (hamstring) was also a non-participant.

4/10
Confidence
StreakSmarter Pick
Baltimore Ravens