[12:00 PM] Auburn @ Mississippi State

Who will WIN this matchup?

Auburn Tigers (3-2)

@ Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-2)


Current odds:

Auburn Tigers: (-150)

Mississippi State Bulldogs: (+130)


ESPN simulations have Auburn as XX% favorites to cover the spread.

XX% of sports bets are currently on Auburn to win as (XX) favorites.

The line for this game is Auburn by 2.5 points.

After five straight home games to open the season, Auburn faces its first road test Saturday at Mississippi State. The game, meanwhile, will be the first home date for the Bulldogs in nearly a month as they’re coming off two road games followed by a bye last weekend.

The Tigers have posted the best rushing numbers (269.8 yards per game) in the SEC so far behind tailbacks Kerryon Johnson (103.4) and Kamryn Pettway (84.0). Pettway was held out of last Saturday’s 56-7 win over ULM as more of a precautionary measure with a bruised quad but is expected to return Saturday along with center Xavier Dampeer, who also was held out last week. The Auburn defense, led by cornerback Johnathan Ford (31 total tackles) and defensive end Carl Lawson (four sacks) has held four of five foes to fewer than 20 points and ranks fifth in the conference in total defense (358.4 yards allowed per game).

The Bulldogs will counter the Auburn ground game with the SEC’s fourth-ranked run defense (110.8 yards allowed), which is headed by conference tackles-for-loss leader (9.0) A.J. Jefferson, a senior defensive end. Sophomore quarterback Nick Fitzgerald has taken over for Dak Prescott and had 415 yards of total offense and three touchdowns in the Sept. 24 win over UMass. Fitzgerald also is Mississippi State’s leading rusher with 82.2 yards per outing, and his favorite aerial target is senior wideout Fred Ross, who ranks second in the conference in receptions per game (6.2) and is tied for third with four total receiving TDs.

Auburn has dominated the overall series 61-26-2, but Mississippi State has won three of the last four, including a 17-9 road victory last season.

Tigers QB Sean White has completed 33-of-43 passes for 473 yards, two TDs and no interceptions over the last two games.

Ross’ 152 career receptions leads all active SEC players.
StreakSmarts Pick: Auburn Tigers

Confidence: 5/10

StreakSmarter Pick