[3:30 PM] TCU @ #17 Baylor

Who will WIN this matchup?

TCU Horned Frogs (4-4)

@ #17 Baylor Bears (6-1)


Current odds:

TCU Horned Frogs: (+250)

Baylor Bears: (-300)


ESPN simulations have Baylor as 92.1% favorites to win the game.

58% of sports bets are currently on Baylor to win as (-300) favorites.

The line for this game is Baylor by 7.5 points.

No. 13 Baylor, which likely saw its College Football Playoff hopes dashed with a 35-34 loss at Texas last Saturday, now will turn its attention to trying to win another Big 12 Conference title when it hosts old rival TCU on Saturday afternoon. The Bears, one of three Big 12 teams with one loss in conference play, travel to league-leading Oklahoma next Saturday.

Starting quarterback Kenny Hill was pulled in favor of sophomore Foster Sawyer during last Saturday’s 27-24 double-overtime loss to Texas Tech — the Horned Frogs’ third setback in four games — after throwing his 10th interception of the season but the Texas A&M transfer is still expected to start this week. Running back Kyle Hicks, who injured his left ankle in the loss to Texas Tech and leads the team with 597 rushing yards and is tied for the team lead with 31 catches, was listed as probable by head coach Gary Patterson. The Horned Frogs are tied with Texas for the Big 12 lead in sacks (31) with end Mat Boesen (6) leading the way while junior linebacker Travis Howard leads the conference in tackles (88).

Quarterback Seth Russell, who missed the last six games of the 2015 season with a neck injury and took numerous hard hits from the Texas defense, is expected to start but will continue to be monitored for potential concussion-like symptoms throughout the week after feeling nauseous and groggy about 90 minutes after the loss. Russell has thrown 52 touchdown passes and only 11 interceptions while compiling a 14-1 record in 15 career starts with junior wide receiver KD Cannon, who ranks fourth in the Big 12 in both receptions (5.8) and receiving yards (88.5) his No. 1 target. Baylor’s defense, which is second in the Big 12 in takeaways (16) and first in passing yards allowed (179.4), is led by returning all-Big 12 linebacker Taylor Young (53 tackles, 4 sacks, 8.5 tackles for loss) and junior defensive back Travon Blanchard, a Jim Thorpe Award semifinalist who has 34 tackles and four pass breakups.

Baylor has compiled an FBS best 23 wins (23-5) in November and December since 2011.

TCU has at least one sack in a school-record 38 consecutive games which is also the second longest streak in the nation behind Ohio State (43).

Baylor is allowing an average of 1.3 points in the fourth quarter of games which is tops in the country.


StreakSmarts Pick: Baylor Bears

Confidence: 7/10

StreakSmarter Pick