[8:33 PM] Colts @ Texans

Who will WIN this matchup?

Indianapolis Colts (2-3)

@ Houston Texans (3-2)

 

Current odds:

Indianapolis Colts: (+135)

Houston Texans: (-155)

 

• ESPN simulations have Houston as XX% favorites to cover the spread.

• XX% of sports bets are currently on Indianapolis to win as (TBD) underdogs.

• The line for this game is Texans by 3 points.

• The Houston Texans have been dismal on the road but look to remain perfect at home when they host the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday night in an early-season showdown for first place in the AFC South. Houston has won all three contests at home to hold a one-game edge atop the division, but it has lost six of the last seven matchups against the Colts.

• Luck has thrown for 10 touchdowns against only three interceptions while tying for fourth in the league with 1,469 yards passing, but he also has been sacked an NFL-high 20 times behind Indianapolis’ shaky offensive line. T.Y. Hilton has a touchdown pass in each of the last three games, hauling in 25 of his 35 receptions during that span, including 10 for 171 yards last week. Indianapolis ranks 30th overall (410.6 yards) in total defense an allows 29.6 points per game.

• Houston invested heavily in a pair of free agents in quarterback Brock Osweiler and running back Lamar Miller, but it has yet to reap the dividends. Osweiler, who replaced an injured Peyton Manning with Denver last season, has more interceptions (seven) than touchdown passes (six) while completing only 58 percent of his passes and posting a quarterback rating of 70.6. Miller has provided more bang for the bucks, rushing for at least 80 yards in each of the first four games, but he was held to 20 yards last week and has yet to find the end zone. Despite the lost of star lineman J.J. Watt, the Texans ranked fifth overall in total defense and are No. 1 against the pass (181.0 yards per game).

• Luck has won his last five starts against Houston.

• Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins had 19 catches for 263 yards in two matchups versus the Colts last season.

• Hilton has 21 receptions and four touchdowns in his last four games at Houston.

 

StreakSmarts Pick: Houston Texans

Confidence: 5/10

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